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IGCSE Maths: Probability

Topic 8 of the Cambridge IGCSE Mathematics (0580) syllabus: from single events to combined and conditional probability. Here is what each part asks, a practice question for each, and the mistakes that cost the most marks.

Practise probability as a game

The 4 parts of the topic

Each part with one practice question, made by the same engine your child plays. Parts marked Extended are for the Extended paper only.

8.1 Introduction to probability: the scale from 0 to 1, notation, a single event, and the probability of "not"

What is the probability of an event that is certain to happen?

  1. 1/2
  2. 1
  3. 100
  4. 0
Show the answer

1. Probabilities go from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain).

8.2 Relative and expected frequencies

In 80 trials, a drawing pin lands point up 28 times.
Use this to estimate how many times it happens in 160 trials.

  1. 56
  2. 28
  3. 104
  4. 61
Show the answer

56. Relative frequency 28/80 = 0.35. 0.35 × 160 = 56.

8.3 Combined events: sample spaces, Venn and tree diagrams

The probability that Ana is late is 4/6.
The probability that it rains is 2/3.
The events are independent. Find P(Ana is late AND it rains).

  1. 8/9
  2. 4/3
  3. 4/9
  4. 2/3
Show the answer

4/9. For independent events, AND means multiply: 4/6 × 2/3 = 4/9.

8.4 Conditional probability Extended

A bag holds 3 red and 4 blue counters.
Two are taken out, without replacement.
What is the probability of two reds?

  1. 5/13
  2. 1/3
  3. 1/7
  4. 9/49
Show the answer

1/7. First red: 3/7. One red is gone, so second red: 2/6. Multiply: 1/7.

The mistakes that cost the most marks

Huh Lab checks every wrong answer against known mistakes like these, and goes back to the step behind the one your child keeps making.

Divides by the wrong total

Ask "out of how many?" first. "Given that..." shrinks the group you are choosing from.

Forgets the first one was not put back

After one counter is taken there is one fewer in the bag. Both numbers change.

Adds probabilities for AND

AND means multiply (it gets less likely). OR, for events that cannot both happen, means add.

Compares red to blue instead of red to all

Probability is "how many I want" out of "how many ALTOGETHER".

Adds the choices instead of multiplying them

3 choices then 4 choices make 3 × 4 = 12 outcomes: count the squares in the grid.

Counts only one order

"One of each" can happen as red then blue OR blue then red. Add both routes.

Mixes up with and without replacement

If the ball is not put back, there is one fewer of everything on the second pick.

Gives the probability of the OTHER outcome

Re-read which colour the question asks about.

Other IGCSE Maths topics

Practise it as a game

Short rounds on any topic, a new question every time, the exact mistake found, and a report to you after every session.

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